(Vancouver,
BC) -- "How close were we to
seeing an armed nuclear conflict?" That
is the question being asked as Syrian
nationals temporarily vacated Beirut, Lebanon
and the Jordan Valley during mid July
according to sources close to ACG-CIS. Many
security and intelligence officials believe
that this behavior may have been related to
the US sinking of a North Korean ship
approximately 100 nautical miles from the
coast of Iran.
It
was not immediately clear why, around July 10,
2007, the Syrian nationals, primarily engaged
in construction, trades and agricultural
occupations, should have vacated Lebanon
without notice. The nationals were
noticed to have returned to Beirut and the
Jordan Valley by July 21, 2007.
ACG-CIS
is of the opinion that the approximate 10-day
absence may have been in part due to a warning
system alerting the nationals to the
possibility of an impending military or terror
strike against Israel and other western
interests in the region.
According
a number of news sources, officials and
clerics from Syria and Iran met during this
time period reportedly to draw plans and
scenarios for proposed attacks and increased
activity against western interests in both the
Mid East region and elsewhere. Those talks
ended last week with no official announcements
from any of the participants.
ACG-CIS,
based upon further analysis, believe that the
nationals were warned of an apparent military
style strike or strikes as Hezbollah was
reported to be moving missiles in civilian
populated areas throughout southern Lebanon.
This movement along with the involvement of
the Iranian president, an adamant believer in
nuclear technology and development, lead to
concerns about the possibility of a military
style "dirty bomb" nuclear attack or
a ballistic missile attack involving nuclear
weapons purchased from North Korea.
It
was reported earlier this month that while the
North Korean 2006 test demonstrated the
viability and reliability of North Korea's
Scud- and Nodong-class systems, it left open
the status of the three ballistic missile
systems that the Korean People's Army (KPA)
recently placed, or is placing, into service
as testing on North Korea short-range missile
systems has been quietly ongoing.
In
reports first published by DEBKAfile, American
naval and air forces intercepted two North
Korean vessels clandestinely en route for Iran
with cargoes of enriched uranium and nuclear
equipment in the past month. The shutdown of
Pongyong's nuclear facilities has made these
items surplus to North Korea's requirements
and the Islamic Republic was more than willing
to pay a hefty price for the goods.
On
July 12, the second intercepted North Korean
freighter was sunk in the Arabian Sea by
torpedoes fired from a US submarine 100 miles
southeast of the Iranian naval base-port of
Chah Bahar. Delivery of its freight of
enriched weapons-grade uranium and equipment
and engines for manufacturing more fissile
material including plutonium in its hold could
have jump-forwarded Iran's nuclear bomb and
warhead project, lopping off at least a year
of work. For this Iran's rulers were ready to
reportedly pay out a cool $500 million.
A
few hours earlier, President Bush received an
intelligence briefing on the vessel, its
freight and destination. Apparently the
shipment was brought forward by several weeks
to evade detection by UN nuclear inspectors
scheduled to visit Pyongyang this week to
verify the dismantling of its nuclear
facilities.
US
airplanes had been tracking the freighter and
picked up signs of radioactivity, indicating
the presence of nuclear materials aboard.
President
Bush had the option of ordering US Marines to
board the vessel or to sink it. He decided on
the latter - both because the North Korean
freighter was approaching an area patrolled by
Iranian naval units and seizure of the vessel
by American marines might have provoked a
clash; secondly, it was the better choice in
order to avoid exposing US troops to
radioactive contamination. American naval and
air units in the Persian Gulf, Middle East and
seas opposite North Korea were ordered to go
on a high state of readiness and the torpedo
the North Korean vessel was accomplished
without delay.
After
the attack, US warships raced to the spot
where the ship went down where they picked up
three lifeboats. Most of the North Korean
sailors aboard were either injured or dead.
Twenty in all died in the attack. They all
bore symptoms of contamination. After the
episode, the area was cordoned off and
underwater equipment dropped to salvage the
cargo from the sunken ship.
All
the parties to the incident, the United
States, North Korea and Iran, have kept the
incident under wraps as the situation in and
around the Gulf is inflammable enough to
explode into a full-blown Iranian-US clash at
the slightest provocation.
There
was also the danger that North Korea might
decide at the last moment to abort the closure
of its nuclear facilities.
©2007
ACG-CIS
with additional information from The
Lekarev Report; DebkaFile,
Jane's Defense Weekly, Fox News